The NFL MVP race has taken a dramatic turn following Week 10 of the 2025 season, with second-year quarterback Drake Maye now positioned as the frontrunner. After leading the New England Patriots to an impressive seventh consecutive victory, Maye”s odds improved significantly from +425 to +275. The Patriots now hold an 8-2 record and command the AFC East following a loss by the Buffalo Bills and quarterback Josh Allen against the Miami Dolphins.
This shift in the standings has also seen Allen”s MVP chances diminish, dropping him from the lead to fifth place in the latest odds. The current landscape of MVP contenders includes Matthew Stafford in second at +300, closely followed by Patrick Mahomes at +500 and Jonathan Taylor at +650. Stafford”s Los Angeles Rams now boast a 7-2 record, while Taylor”s standout performance of 244 rushing yards and three touchdowns in an overtime win for the Indianapolis Colts has elevated his profile significantly.
With five players now listed at +700 or shorter, the MVP race is heating up. Outside of the top contenders, Sam Darnold at +1000, Lamar Jackson at +2500, and Jalen Hurts at +2200 remain in contention and could pose a challenge as the season progresses. Notably, Darnold and Stafford are set to face off in a pivotal Week 11 matchup that may impact the NFC West standings and their MVP aspirations.
Despite not having a standout game against Tampa Bay, Maye managed to throw for multiple touchdowns for the fifth consecutive game, bringing his season total to 19 touchdowns against just five interceptions, completing an impressive 71.7 percent of his passes. The Patriots are favored to secure the top seed in the AFC, especially with their relatively easy remaining schedule, where the combined winning percentage of their opponents is just .338.
Stafford”s recent performance has earned him newfound respect in the MVP conversation, as he threw four touchdowns in Week 10, bringing his total to 25 for the season. He leads the league in passing touchdowns and contributed 280 passing yards in a victory over San Francisco. A win against the Seattle Seahawks in Week 11 could propel him ahead of Maye in the MVP race due to slightly superior stats and a favorable position for the NFC”s top seed.
Meanwhile, Taylor”s explosive performance has positioned him as a serious contender for the MVP award, despite the fact that a running back has not won the honor since Adrian Peterson in 2012. His 15 rushing touchdowns and two receiving touchdowns this season, along with over 1,139 rushing yards, make a compelling case for his candidacy, especially if the Colts can maintain their winning pace.
On the other hand, Allen”s struggles in Week 10 have severely impacted his MVP bid, with the Bills only managing to score 13 points against the Dolphins. His odds plummeted from +180 to +700, as the Bills now find themselves two games behind the Patriots with a challenging path ahead to reclaim the top spot in the AFC East.
As the Baltimore Ravens have won three straight games, there is speculation around Lamar Jackson“s potential MVP candidacy, given his impressive performance with 15 touchdowns and just one interception in six games. However, Jackson faces an uphill battle for the MVP due to the Ravens” likely positioning in the playoffs.
With the season unfolding, the MVP odds will continue to evolve as teams jockey for playoff positions and individual performances shine.
