A significant matchup in college football is set for this weekend as No. 9 Oregon travels to face No. 20 Iowa in Week 11 action on Saturday. Iowa has made its way into the first College Football Playoff rankings thanks to a strong defensive performance and a 4-1 record in Big Ten play. Meanwhile, Oregon enters this contest with just one loss, bringing added pressure as they aim to secure a win on the road.
In anticipation of this game, we consult the SP+ prediction model, which analyzes various metrics to forecast outcomes based on team efficiency. According to the model, Oregon is favored to win this contest against Iowa, projecting a final score of 28 to 20, with an estimated victory margin of 7.5 points. The analytics suggest that Oregon has a 68 percent chance of defeating the Hawkeyes.
This season, the SP+ college football prediction model has recorded a record of 263-253 against the spread, boasting a win percentage of 55.8. In its most recent week, the model achieved a 29-23 record against the spread, maintaining that same winning percentage.
In terms of betting odds, the markets are leaning towards Oregon, listing them as a 6.5-point favorite against Iowa, according to the lines from FanDuel Sportsbook. The total for the game is set at 42.5 points, with Oregon”s moneyline odds at -240 and Iowa”s at +198 for an outright win.
Oregon arrives at this game with a well-rounded offense and a defense that has allowed fewer than 15 points per game. They understand the importance of this game for their playoff aspirations. Conversely, Iowa boasts a formidable defense and will aim to leverage their home-field advantage at Kinnick Stadium to exploit any weaknesses in Oregon”s performance on the road. While the prediction favors Oregon, Iowa has the potential to remain competitive, especially if they can control the clock effectively early in the game.
Oregon is expected to win, with a moneyline of -240, while taking the over appears to be a reasonable expectation given the context of both teams” play styles.
Note: Game odds are subject to change. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
