Oregon and USC, two former Pac-12 rivals, will face off in a significant matchup that could determine playoff hopes. The game features USC, ranked 15th, traveling to take on 7th-ranked Oregon. This contest marks the first time since Lincoln Riley took charge in 2022 that USC is in contention for the league title this late in the season.
A victory for USC would not only enhance their playoff resume but also position them favorably in the rankings compared to Oregon. Conversely, Oregon is among the few teams in the Associated Press top 20 without a win against a ranked opponent this season. Securing this win would be pivotal, potentially elevating the Ducks to an 11-1 record and a strong chance at hosting a playoff game in Eugene.
This matchup is highlighted as a key national preview due to the presence of two top-10 quarterbacks leading their respective offenses, both vying for a coveted playoff spot. According to my Game Grader statistics, Oregon boasts an average score of 77.7 over the past three years, while USC trails with a score of 63.1. In the current season, Oregon remains strong at 77.4, compared to USC at 63.3.
In my annual publication, Pick Six Previews, I predicted that Oregon would finish third in the Big Ten and earn an at-large playoff bid. My assessment was based on their impressive talent acquisition through recruiting and the transfer portal. Despite the young roster and several new starters, I have high hopes for Oregon in the coming years, stating, “Oregon is my pick to win the national title … in 2026.”
This season has seen Oregon navigating a challenging path, including a notable win against Penn State in the “White Out” game, which sparked a six-game losing streak that ultimately led to a coaching change. The Ducks also suffered a 10-point defeat to Indiana, alongside a narrow 18-16 victory over Iowa. However, they have consistently won their other games by significant margins, placing them at 7th in the current Game Grader rankings.
USC, which I predicted to finish fourth this season, has also lived up to expectations. With a win total projection of 7.5, they have performed well with an 8-2 record. Highlights include a decisive 31-13 victory over Michigan, along with close wins against Iowa and Nebraska. Their only setbacks came from two fumbles at the goal line in a narrow loss to Illinois and a 10-point defeat to Notre Dame, currently placing them 12th in the Game Grader rankings.
As both teams prepare for this critical showdown, the stakes could not be higher, with playoff aspirations hanging in the balance.
