The race for the top pick in the 2026 NFL Draft is heating up, with the Tennessee Titans currently leading the pack. The Titans, who have only one victory this season, saw their chances of securing the coveted first overall selection rise from 25 percent to 35 percent after the New York Jets defeated the Cleveland Browns last weekend.
Interestingly, the Jets” victory, which marked their second win this season, lowered their own odds of landing the top pick from 39 percent to 26 percent. This week, as the NFL season progresses, the draft order is still very much in flux. As of now, 12 teams have three wins or fewer, with nine still retaining at least a one percent chance of claiming the first pick come April.
The teams with the highest odds of securing the No. 1 pick are as follows:
Tennessee Titans” Prospects
It”s no surprise that the Tennessee Titans are the favorites to secure the first overall pick for the second consecutive year given their current standing. With a projected end-of-season record of 3-14, the Titans have a favorable chance to trade down to a quarterback-needy team, potentially accumulating more assets for their rebuild. Their remaining schedule features challenges, including games against expected playoff teams such as the Seattle Seahawks, San Francisco 49ers, and Kansas City Chiefs.
Key remaining games include a Week 14 matchup against the Browns and a Week 17 clash with the New Orleans Saints.
New York Jets” Situation
The New York Jets made significant moves at the trade deadline, dealing away stars like cornerback Sauce Gardner and defensive tackle Quinnen Williams. This suggests a focus on rebuilding, especially in a season without a franchise quarterback. Despite their recent win, the Jets remain in a strong position to secure a top draft pick, currently sitting at 26 percent.
They face a challenging schedule ahead, including two games against the New England Patriots and road trips to Baltimore and Buffalo.
New York Giants” Challenges
The New York Giants, another struggling team from New York, have been in turmoil after firing head coach Brian Daboll. The Giants, who have a 12 percent chance to secure the top pick, will face a moderately difficult schedule in the coming weeks. Their performances, particularly with rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart currently in concussion protocol, will significantly impact their draft odds.
Other Contenders
The New Orleans Saints recently recorded an upset victory over the Carolina Panthers, which impacted their draft positioning. They currently hold a nine percent chance of landing the first pick, despite having one of the easiest remaining schedules, which could lead to more wins.
The Las Vegas Raiders and Cleveland Browns also find themselves in the mix for the top pick. The Raiders, under new coach Pete Carroll, have struggled this season, while the Browns face a tough remaining schedule despite their strong defense.
As the NFL season progresses, the implications of each game become increasingly significant in shaping the upcoming draft order.
