The San Francisco 49ers are set to face off against the Seattle Seahawks in the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs, with the Seahawks favored by seven points and a total set at 45. Just two weeks ago, these NFC West rivals clashed, resulting in a 13-3 victory for Seattle. In that matchup, the Seahawks” defense excelled, restricting the 49ers to a mere 4.1 yards per play and achieving a season-low in expected points added (EPA) per play.
Seattle has built a reputation for its formidable defense this season, leading the NFL in EPA allowed per play. Their offensive strategy complements this strength, as they run the ball at the second-highest rate in the league, which has effectively limited opposing offenses” scoring opportunities. Throughout the regular season, the Seahawks allowed the fewest points per game, averaging 16.8.
Both teams are dealing with significant injuries ahead of this playoff encounter. For Seattle, quarterback Sam Darnold appeared on the injury report after leaving practice due to an oblique injury. While he is expected to play, his performance may be compromised. On the other side, the 49ers will miss tight end George Kittle, a critical component of their offense. However, linebacker Fred Warner has returned to practice following ankle surgery, although his activation for the game is still uncertain. His presence could bolster a 49ers defense that has faced challenges this season.
In terms of betting prospects, one notable option is tight end Jake Tonges from the 49ers, who is positioned for a significant role with Kittle sidelined. Betting analyst Ben Linsey noted that Tonges ranks second on the team in targets within the 25-yard line, trailing only running back Christian McCaffrey. This gives Tonges a good chance to contribute in scoring opportunities, especially in the red zone.
The Seahawks” defense, while strong, has shown tendencies to allow receptions to tight ends and running backs. Although they do not frequently yield touchdowns to tight ends, they rank 29th in receptions allowed, which might play into Tonges” favor.
As the two teams prepare for this crucial playoff battle, all eyes will be on how injuries impact game strategy and player performance.
